Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.207979 0.289405 0.380812 0.488880 0.611268 0.743963 0.897204
2025-11-02 0.098213 0.196892 0.325636 0.494254 0.700262 0.936739 1.222527
2025-11-09 0.038777 0.126976 0.263177 0.458630 0.711806 1.014192 1.390484
2025-11-16 0.008433 0.074861 0.206917 0.417260 0.706021 1.063616 1.519948
2025-11-23 0.000416 0.047883 0.177374 0.403910 0.729429 1.143328 1.680848
2025-11-30 NaN 0.034365 0.165555 0.412899 0.780118 1.255461 1.879906
2025-12-07 NaN 0.021252 0.147520 0.408310 0.809634 1.338956 2.042511
2025-12-14 NaN 0.009893 0.124043 0.390056 0.816916 1.391728 2.165448
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008165 0.128619 0.420492 0.894655 1.536941 2.404529
2025-12-28 NaN 0.006837 0.133711 0.451660 0.973476 1.683715 2.645825
2026-01-04 NaN 0.004419 0.131441 0.468365 1.030450 1.801325 2.850232
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004590 0.142793 0.511385 1.127241 1.972450 3.122971
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003769 0.148718 0.545994 1.214751 2.135689 3.391776
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001531 0.140808 0.552995 1.260784 2.244181 3.592355
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.112852 0.514830 1.234859 2.253603 3.664662
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.085492 0.470882 1.196215 2.243301 3.709768
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.072626 0.456625 1.203208 2.294580 3.833440
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.069544 0.466218 1.249185 2.400253 4.028189
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.061614 0.461322 1.270329 2.470660 4.176506
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.049662 0.441841 1.265449 2.503466 4.274802
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.054794 0.474309 1.350327 2.664531 4.542965
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.060169 0.507487 1.436484 2.827522 4.813826
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.060558 0.525243 1.495978 2.952486 5.034472